JPMorgan: Bizjet Recovery ‘Taking Hold’

 - March 30, 2011, 1:10 PM

“We are gaining confidence that a recovery is taking hold following good news in recent weeks,” JPMorgan North America Equity Research noted in its latest business jet update. The firm cited the net orders for 74 aircraft booked by Bombardier in the fourth quarter, as well as the recent firm order for 50 Bombardier Globals placed by NetJets. “We believe demand is at least starting to improve more broadly–and [the recent uptick at Bombardier] takes place in the context of an improving economic outlook and rising corporate profits, which bode well for demand.” JPMorgan analysts are still concerned because 11 percent of in-production aircraft are for sale on the second-hand market–3 percentage points above the 15-year average–“at [low] prices not seen since the late 1990s.” They want to see used inventory continue falling and prices rise, along with further evidence of new-aircraft backlog stabilization, “to move beyond our current state of cautious optimism.”