The business jet market has been on the mend for quite some time, but only recently has the improvement shown clear signs of acceleration. According to recent statistics, it was about one year ago that the inventory of used business jets began to shrink at a faster rate than during previous years. Since last year’s NBAA Convention, the industry has experienced a 10-percent drop in used aircraft inventory, or nearly 300 fewer aircraft.
“We expect little change to the prevailing business jet narrative, which is that demand has stabilized but with only muted signs of recovery,” J.P. Morgan said in its latest monthly business jet report, released yesterday. “Business jet demand has not recovered with corporate profits, as it has previously. We estimate that 2013 U.S. corporate profits were up about 50 percent from the 2008 trough, whereas bizjet deliveries have yet to turn up decisively,”
The typical summer slowdown that the used market has become accustomed to seems to have taken a summer vacation. While worldwide inventory has ticked up slightly in response to seasonal variances, the inventory of 2000 and newer jets fell during the past couple of months. As the fleet has aged, the broader number of aircraft for sale has to be looked at closely. Consider that aircraft that are 25 years old or older account for more than one third of the market currently for sale, and these aircraft are often lumped in to the total figure to define the health of the market.
Business jet demand has not recovered in line with corporate profits as it has in the past. J.P. Morgan aerospace analyst Joseph Nadol III attributes the sluggishness to “the stigma attached to bizjets during the recent recession and a focus on cost cutting among corporate customers. We estimate that 2013 U.S. corporate profits were up about 50 percent from the 2008 trough, whereas bizjet deliveries have yet to turn up decisively.”
Preliminary data suggests second-quarter results for business jet deliveries “will not be impressive,” according to J.P. Morgan North American Equity’s latest business jet monthly update. While its analysts note there are aircraft still missing from the database used to track deliveries, “Preliminary indications are that deliveries will fall short of estimates, with the possible exception of Gulfstream,” noted J.P. Morgan lead aerospace analyst Joseph Nadol III.
Buyers continue to make their collective presence felt in the pre-owned market, pushing worldwide inventory to multiyear lows following a consistent contraction since last year’s NBAA Convention. Since that time, the market outflow of choices has exceeded the inflow and levels have dipped from 2,600 then to about 2,335 today, a level not seen since the summer of 2008. There are likely a number of factors affecting the depletion, including the perception of an improved U.S. economy, which has stimulated sales activity.
Dynamic Systems is offering what it promotes as a low-cost tracking system for MROs and FBOs using the latest bar code technology. Total Track System tracks tools, maintenance, equipment, work orders, inventory, capital assets and job costing. Bar-code data collection has proved to be the most accurate and efficient method of tracking or counting items.
Fresh Jets formally launched its online live empty-leg platform in March, offering a new way for charter users to be introduced to charter operators. Instead of just listing inventory that may or may not exist, Fresh Jets is a software system that charter operators and corporate travel departments can use to take advantage of empty legs.
Pre-owned business jet and turboprop inventory as a percentage of in-service aircraft continued to fall in March, though pricing has yet to find a floor, according to data released yesterday by aviation services firm JetNet. Inventory of used business jets fell 1 percent year-over-year, to 12.1 percent, the third lowest since 2005, JetNet said. Pre-owned turboprop inventory barely managed a decrease, falling just 0.1 percent to 7.7 percent from March 2013.
Dassault Falcon saw greatly improved sales in China last year, and this year is shaping up to be strong as well, it said today at ABACE 2014. The company attributes this success in China to its investment in product support, marketing and customer service. Its customer service efforts are managed through Dassault Falcon’s wholly owned foreign entity, which is staffed by Chinese-speaking employees.
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