The eye-popping total of 2,750 pre-owned aircraft for sale today is a lot based on historical standards, but it is well below the peak reached a little more than a year ago. The broker community and OEMs monitor the total number of aircraft for sale because it is an important measurement on which to gauge the health of the used aircraft market, but when you scratch beneath the surface you realize that the sky is not falling.
“Elevated used inventory, attractive used pricing and macro uncertainty continue to hold down demand for new business jets,” JPMorgan Equity Research noted in its latest business jet monthly report, issued this morning.
Sales of pre-owned business jets, turboprops and turbine helicopters increased in the first seven months versus the same period last year, though at the same time aircraft prices deflated, according to data released yesterday by JetNet. Business jet inventory showed the largest year-over-year change, dropping 2.8 points to 14.9 percent.
The used aircraft market often synchronizes its pace with the lazy days
The business jet market saw 2.4 percent of the worldwide fleet change hands via resale retail transactions in the second quarter, according to a quarterly pre-owned bizjet market update released this week by Amstat. This is higher than the 2.0-percent figure recorded in the first quarter.
A report released by JetNet on Tuesday shows that the number of pre-owned business jets and turboprops on the market last month fell by more than 7 percent on a year-over-year basis. But inventory as a percentage of in-service aircraft still remains high for business jets at 15.3 percent (2,674 aircraft), and while down 2.1 percent from May 2009 this still indicates a buyerís market for this category.
Recovery in the pre-owned business jet market “remains on track,” but the pickup in the new aircraft market is still “elusive,” JPMorgan noted in its latest business jet monthly report, issued late last week. “Used inventories continued to move downward, consistent with their path over the past 10 months,” said Joseph Nadol III, the firm’s chief aerospace analyst.
A recently released report from JetNet indicates that the pre-owned inventory of business jets and turboprops declined further last month, though the aviation information firm said the market still remains very much a buyer’s realm.
Online parts marketplace Rhobi (reinventing how online business integrates) “is the biggest technological advance for parts ordering and inventory since the fax machine,” asserts Steve Edwards, COO of Fort Smith, Ark.-based Rhobi. Edwards had a parts supply company and was unhappy with his options for software that would let his reps see up-to-date inventory, order parts and communicate with the company.
While a year ago it seemed as if buyers were beginning to emerge from harsh winter hibernation, in fact inventory was still a few months away from reaching its all-time peak. At the same juncture this year, we find inventory a couple of hundred aircraft below its 12-month moving average, yet still a couple of hundred above the pre-Lehman collapse figure.