Kerry Lynch stepped into the role of editor of the&nbsp;Aviation International News&nbsp;monthly magazine in May 2022 after serving with&nbsp;AIN&nbsp;for eight years. She joined&nbsp;AIN&nbsp;in December 2014 as a senior editor covering Washington and business aviation news. She has also served on Convention News teams, including as editor of&nbsp;HAI Convention News. Lynch previously spent 25 years with Aviation Week. During her time there, she reported for and later steered&nbsp;The Weekly of Business Aviation, oversaw business aviation content on the&nbsp;Aviation Week Intelligence Network, served on the&nbsp;Show News&nbsp;staff, and held roles as the Washington columnist for&nbsp;Business &amp; Commercial Aviation&nbsp;and&nbsp;Overhaul &amp; Maintenance&nbsp;monthly magazines. In 2021 she was honored with the National Business Aviation Association Platinum Wing Award for lifetime achievement in journalism and was the 2004 recipient of the National Air Transportation Association’s Aviation Journalism Excellence Award. She also has been a recipient of an Aerospace Media Award for business aviation (2022) and NBAA Gold Wing Award (2003). Lynch graduated from The Ohio State University with a bachelor of arts in journalism.

Editor, AIN monthly magazine

Kerry Lynch

A global pilot shortage is anticipated to extend through at least 2032, with North America anticipated to feel the brunt of it as post-Covid demand exceeds new entrants, according to analyst Jefferies.&nbsp;Citing recent insight from Oliver Wyman Global Aerospace partner Geoff Murray, Jefferies reported that the number of retiring pilots is improving from 13,000 in 2020 to 6,000 in 2022. In addition, Jefferies added that the global supply of pilots is also increasing.
Even so, that increase is surpassed by the surge in demand post-Covid, with an estimated shortage of growth of 11,000 in 2024. That shortfall could increase to 60,000 globally by 2032 “if mitigating actions are not taken,” Jefferies further stated.
North America and Africa, albeit at a lesser magnitude, are the primary regions facing shortages. West Europe, the Middle East, South America, and Latin America will also experience&nbsp;shortages, but not to the same extent.
“The pilot shortage has arrived earliest in North America,” Jefferies said, saying the gap of pilots is anticipated to be at 17,000 from 2025 onward. The rise in early retirements, exacerbated by Covid, with increasing demand is widening the gap, Jefferies noted.
An <a href="https://www.ainonline.com/aviation-news/business-aviation/2022-11-14/jefferies-pilot-certs-increase-shortfall-grows" target="_blank">upward trend</a> in Air Transport Pilot certificate&nbsp;issuances is not keeping up and retirements and new capacity likely will outpace that activity.

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Pilot Shortage Expected To Continue Through Next Decade

Jefferies, citing Oliver Wyman insight, believes a global pilot shortage could continue through 2032, with the shortfall hitting North America first.

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